Published on February 27, 2026

Women’s Heart Risk May Begin at Lower Coronary Plaque Levels Than Men

Heart disease remains the leading cause of death worldwide, yet the way it develops and presents can differ significantly between women and men. A newly published research article in Circulation: Cardiovascular Imaging sheds important light on these differences. The study, titled “Risk in Women Emerges at Lower Coronary Plaque Burden Than in Men: PROMISE Trial,” was originally published on February 23, 2026, and is based on data from the landmark PROMISE Trial.

The findings suggest that women may face an increased risk of major cardiovascular events at lower levels of coronary plaque burden compared with men. This discovery has major implications for how clinicians interpret cardiac imaging and assess risk in female patients.

Understanding Coronary Artery Disease and Plaque Burden

Coronary artery disease develops when fatty deposits, known as plaque, accumulate within the walls of the coronary arteries. Over time, this buildup can restrict blood flow and increase the risk of heart attack, unstable angina, or death.

Traditionally, attention has focused on obstructive disease, meaning severe narrowing of the arteries. However, nonobstructive plaque also carries meaningful risk. Even when arteries are not severely narrowed, the presence and composition of plaque can predict future events.

Coronary computed tomography angiography, commonly referred to as CCTA, allows physicians to visualize plaque in detail. Beyond identifying whether plaque is present, modern software can measure:

  • Total plaque volume
  • Plaque burden, defined as plaque relative to vessel size
  • Calcified plaque
  • Noncalcified plaque
  • Low attenuation plaque, often associated with higher risk

The new analysis from the PROMISE trial evaluated whether increasing plaque measurements translate into cardiovascular risk in the same way for women and men.

About the PROMISE Trial

The PROMISE Trial, short for Prospective Multicenter Imaging Study for Evaluation of Chest Pain, enrolled over 10,000 patients across North America. Participants were stable outpatients with chest pain and no known history of coronary artery disease.

For this specific study, researchers analyzed 4,267 patients who underwent CCTA. Of these, 2,199 were women and 2,068 were men. The average age was just over 60 years.

The primary outcome measured was major adverse cardiovascular events, abbreviated as MACE. This included:

  • All cause death
  • Nonfatal heart attack
  • Hospitalization for unstable angina

Patients were followed for a median of 26 months.

Key Baseline Differences Between Women and Men

Several important differences were observed at baseline:

  • Women were slightly older on average
  • Women had higher rates of hypertension and dyslipidemia
  • Women were less likely to be ever smokers
  • Women had lower calculated 10 year ASCVD risk scores

Despite these differences, the actual rate of major cardiovascular events was relatively similar:

  • 2.3 percent in women
  • 3.4 percent in men

This similarity in outcomes becomes especially interesting when plaque measurements are examined more closely.

Plaque Volume Versus Plaque Burden

One of the most important distinctions in this research is between plaque volume and plaque burden.

Plaque volume measures the total amount of plaque in cubic millimeters. Men had significantly higher plaque volumes across nearly all categories, including calcified and noncalcified plaque.

However, plaque burden represents plaque relative to vessel size. Since women typically have smaller coronary arteries, plaque burden may be a more meaningful measure when comparing sexes.

Remarkably, total plaque burden was nearly identical between women and men, even though women had much lower absolute plaque volumes.

This suggests that relative plaque extent, rather than absolute plaque size, may better reflect cardiovascular risk across sexes.

When Does Risk Begin to Rise?

The most striking finding from the study relates to how risk increases as plaque burden rises.

Using advanced statistical modeling, researchers evaluated how hazard ratios for major events changed across increasing plaque burden levels.

Total Plaque Burden

In women:

  • Cardiovascular risk began increasing at around 20 percent plaque burden
  • A hazard ratio of 1.5 was reached at approximately 32 percent

In men:

  • Risk did not begin rising until around 28 percent plaque burden
  • A hazard ratio of 1.5 was reached at approximately 42 percent

In other words, women experienced elevated cardiovascular risk at substantially lower plaque burden levels compared with men.

Noncalcified Plaque Burden

A similar pattern was seen for noncalcified plaque:

  • Women crossed the risk threshold at 7 percent
  • Men crossed at 9 percent
  • Risk escalated more steeply in women

These nonlinear risk curves show that women’s cardiovascular risk may accelerate earlier and more sharply.

Why Might Women Be at Higher Risk at Lower Plaque Levels?

Several biological and anatomical factors may help explain these findings.

Smaller Coronary Arteries

Women typically have smaller coronary vessels. A given plaque deposit may therefore occupy a larger percentage of the artery, impairing blood flow more significantly.

Plaque Distribution

Women may exhibit more diffuse plaque spread rather than focal blockages. This can reduce the ability of the coronary system to compensate through collateral circulation.

Hormonal Changes

After menopause, hormonal shifts can promote inflammation, endothelial dysfunction, and adverse lipid changes. These processes may accelerate plaque progression.

Differences in Plaque Composition

Men more often exhibit lipid rich and necrotic core plaques. Women may have more calcified or fibrous plaque. While calcified plaque is often considered stable, in smaller arteries it may still represent advanced disease.

Treatment Disparities

Observational data have shown that women are sometimes less likely to receive aggressive preventive therapies. In this study, statin use was similar between sexes, despite higher dyslipidemia rates in women. This raises questions about potential undertreatment.

Clinical Implications for Cardiovascular Risk Assessment

These findings challenge the idea that women are inherently protected against heart disease because they have less plaque volume.

The study supports several important clinical considerations:

  1. Sex specific interpretation of CCTA results
  2. Greater emphasis on plaque burden rather than absolute plaque volume
  3. Avoiding reliance on fixed universal cut points
  4. Development of age and sex specific percentile reference curves

Just as coronary calcium scoring uses percentiles to contextualize risk, plaque burden percentiles could help identify women at elevated risk earlier.

The research suggests that moderate plaque levels in women may warrant closer monitoring and potentially earlier intervention.

Integration Into Personalized Cardiology

Modern cardiology is moving toward personalized risk assessment. This includes integrating imaging biomarkers, clinical risk scores, and individualized patient characteristics.

CCTA derived plaque quantification represents a powerful tool in this evolution. When interpreted through a sex specific lens, it may improve early identification of women at heightened risk.

Future research may explore:

  • Long term plaque progression
  • Effects of lipid lowering therapy on plaque burden
  • Integration with CT derived fractional flow reserve
  • Microvascular dysfunction differences between sexes

Such research could refine prevention strategies and reduce cardiovascular disparities.

Study Limitations

As with all research, certain limitations should be acknowledged:

  • Median follow up was just over two years
  • Quantitative plaque analysis was not possible in a small percentage of patients
  • Enrollment age criteria differed between women and men
  • The analysis was observational and cannot establish causation

Despite these limitations, the findings are robust and clinically meaningful.

Final Thoughts

This important study published in Circulation: Cardiovascular Imaging highlights a critical insight: women may develop clinically significant cardiovascular risk at lower levels of coronary plaque burden than men.

Although women tend to have less plaque volume overall, their risk appears to rise earlier and more steeply once plaque accumulates. Plaque burden, which accounts for vessel size, may be a more appropriate metric for cross sex comparison.

These findings reinforce the need for sex specific cardiovascular evaluation, earlier preventive strategies in women, and more refined imaging interpretation.

Heart disease does not affect women and men in identical ways. Recognizing these differences can save lives.

Source

Brendel JM, Mayrhofer T, Karády J, Kolossváry M, Kerkovits NM, Langenbach IL, Jung M, et al. Risk in Women Emerges at Lower Coronary Plaque Burden Than in Men: PROMISE Trial. Circulation: Cardiovascular Imaging. Originally published February 23, 2026.

Disclaimer

This blog article is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute medical advice, diagnosis, or treatment. Always consult a qualified healthcare professional regarding personal health concerns or before making medical decisions. The interpretation provided here summarizes published research and should not replace individualized clinical judgment.

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